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Bush told to plan for Int'l Oil Embargo against U.S.

by Ahab's War on Terror <ahab@[EMAIL PROTECTED] > Aug 14, 2006 at 04:19 PM

Jan 1998 - PBD: "Bush Determined to Strike in Iraq":
  http://www.theindyvoice.com/index.blog?entry_id=417960

  Jan 2006- Bush bombs Pakistan, nuclear superpower and U.S. allie in "war
on terror":
  http://www.nytimes.com/2006/01/15/international/asia/15pakistan.html

  Aug 2006-Pakistani Charity Implicated in British Airline Terror Plot
  http://www.nytimes.com/2006/08/14/world/europe/14plot.html

  Aug 2006- Pakistan-India ignore Bush and build Gas/Oil Pipeline to Iran
  http://www.payvand.com/news/06/aug/1103.html

Bush told to plan for Chávez oil shock
http://msnbc.msn.com/id/14001903/

Richard Lugar, chairman of the US Senate foreign relations
committee, has urged the Bush administration to adopt specific
"contingency plans" for a potential disruption to oil supplies 
from Venezuela.

In a letter sent to Condoleezza Rice, secretary of state, last Friday,
a copy of which has been obtained by the Financial Times, Mr Lugar 
warned the US that it needed to "abandon" reliance on a
"passive approach" to energy diplomacy.

Mr Lugar's warning follows the release last month of an
investigation by the Government Accountability Office (GAO) that
the US was ill-prepared for an oil embargo by Venezuela, the
world's fifth largest ex­****ter. 

President Hugo Chávez, whose government has been emboldened 
by a torrent of oil revenues, has several times warned that he 
would "cut off" oil supplies to the US if Wa****ngton persisted 
in allegedly plotting his overthrow. 

"Venezuela's leverage over global oil prices and its direct supply
lines and refining capacity in the US give Venezuela undue ability
to impact US security and our economy," Mr Lugar wrote in his
letter to Ms Rice.

The GAO study, commissioned by Mr Lugar, a Republican,
estimated that a Venezuelan oil boycott would raise oil prices by
$11 (?9, £6) per barrel over a six-month period and reduce US
economic output by $23bn.

Bernardo Alvarez, Venezuela's ambassador to the US, dismissed
as "absurd" the GAO study's premise that Mr Chávez would
purposefully shut off oil supplies, citing the economic impact it
would have on his own country. 

Venezuela ****ps two-thirds of its oil to the US, or about 1.5m b/d
and oil accounts for about 80 per cent of ex****t revenue and half
of fiscal revenue.

Mr Lugar, while acknowledging that an embargo seemed unlikely,
said that it would be "negligent" of the US to rely on "ad hoc"
responses, such as use of the Strategic Petroleum Reserve.

"However unrealistic Venezuelan President Hugo Chávez's
repeated threats to disrupt oil supply may be, we have a
responsibility to plan appropriate contingencies that protect the
American people," he wrote.

Mr Lugar added that there was a "real risk" that Venezuela could
"act in concert" with other countries to disrupt oil supplies. Mr
Chávez is due to visit several countries in Asia over the next two
weeks, including Iran.

Myles Frechette, a former US ambassador and now a consultant
on Latin American affairs, said: "Lugar believes that when an
op****tunity presents itself, Chávez will try to break his oil links
with the US."

Venezuelan oil ex****ts to the US fell six per cent in the first four
months of 2006 to 178m barrels, compared with the same period
last year. One of Mr Chávez's policy goals is to reduce
dependence on the US as its main market and send more oil to China.
 




 2 Posts in Topic:
Bush told to plan for Int'l Oil Embargo against U.S.
Ahab's War on Terror <  2006-08-14 16:19:51 
Re: Bush told to plan for Int'l Oil Embargo against U.S.
Bob LeChevalier <lojba  2006-08-15 03:40:17 

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