I predicted it, and it is coming true. When the party rejected social
conservatism in picking McCain as the GOP candidate, it
disenfranchised its base, social conservatives. This is not new in
history, and it has always had the same result. T. Roosevelt did the
same thing. He moved to the left, and the party fell apart...to be
replaced by an even more conservative party that picked up the
pieces. The same thing happened with Bush, Sr. He moved to the left
on abortion and such, and, when he lost the election, the party moved
to cause the conservative revolution in congress of 1994,
leading...ultimately...to a very conservative Bush, Jr.
Things are progressing, exactly as I said they would. The Republican
party has moved to the left and become a liberal message party. The
two undeniable problems with that? 1. The party's base of social
conservatives will not follow and 2. There's already a liberal party
(the Democrats). Why would they leave their own party to vote for the
GOP. Thus, this election will turn out just like the special election
on Tuesday. The Republican candidate, McCain, will go into the
election preaching liberalism. The Democrat candidate will speak in
terms that appeal to conservatives (Childers ran as an anti-abortion
Democrat...interestingly). The social conservative GOP base will vote
elsewhere, and the Democrats will win the next election. Personally,
Barr and the Libertarians have caught my interest this
election...still have some problems, but they sound interesting).
After the party self destructs in November, they will realize they
cannot win against Democrat liberals by being liberal and will swing
back to the right. Unfortunately, I don't think that can now include
Huckabee, who not only gave his sup****t to McCain but promoted the GOP
moderate against the anti-abortion Democrat in Mississippi (showing
himself as a fraud). However, we'll have to keep an eye out for
conservatives for the next election (Brownback...maybe).
Kenneth Clifton
|
