Re: Position means for Powerball

On Sun, 9 Mar 2008 15:56:47 -0700 (PDT), Mensanator
<mensanator@[EMAIL PROTECTED]
> wrote:

>On Mar 9, 2:39?pm, Stig Holmquist <stigfjor...@[EMAIL PROTECTED]
> wrote:
>> If you add up the numbers ein each position after they have been
>> sorted in ascending order
>
>Why would you do a silly thing like that?
>
>Wouldn't doing stats on which ball is drawn first
>be more meaningful?
>
If you think stats based on order of draw are more meaningful feel
free to calculate them and tell us what is so interesting about them
..Order of draw can be found at various sites. Go ahead.

Complete set of means for 264 draws is 9.6-19.1-27.8-38-46.9

Stig Holmquist
>> you will find after the last 112 draws that
>> the means are 9.6, 18.7, 27.4, 37.1 and 46.6 and tere appears to be a
>> slow decrease in each mean from earlier draws.
>>
>> It is tempting to suggest that the ultimate means after millions of
>> draws would be 9-18-27-36-45, but to verify this wild guess one would
>> need to do a simulation or else apply some kind of probability
>> calculation, which is beyond my ken.
>>
>> The 55 ball numbers for PB can be divided into five equal ranges:
>> 1-11, 12-22, 23-33, 34-44 and 45-55 which have the means :
>> 6-17-28-39-50. The fact that the observed means differ from the
>> nominal means is due to many balls drawn for position 1 are over 11
>> and there are no numbers below 1 to compensate and likewise there will
>> be many numbers below 45 drawn for the 5th position but no numbers
>> over 55 to compensate.
>>
>> Would it be possible to predict by probability calculation what the
>> ultimate means should be?
>>
>> ?Stig Holmquist